Saturday, October 27, 2018

Tesla Q3 Celebration

My battle for time between going back to work earlier than expected, the rolling demands of my side job as a professional musician, and wanting to be diligent in my investment decisions and actions, I may not be able to post as much to a blog. But God-willing, I'm going to still give it my best shot, even if it means posting less often.

My goal is still at least once a week!

This week, has been nothing short of eventful in the world of Tesla. The Q3 earnings call wasn't even the biggest news of the week! Hopefully you are already following a lot of the Tesla news around, but in a list of things happening these past two weeks:

1. Version 9 of Tesla's Software rolled out (and is still rolling out) to its current customers.

2. Tesla HAMMERED the market with being the best selling sedan in the US, and topping at #1, or the Top 10 of almost every auto-selling chart out there!

3. Tesla is profitable and even beat the numbers of the bullish projections out there!

4. Tesla released their LEMuR (Limited Edition, Mid-Range) Model 3.

I would love to get into all of these, but I'll just leave this, my favorite meme, of the week:


An incredible turn of attitude towards Tesla by one of the bearish skeptics of Tesla in Citron. The future is here!

UPDATE: Bought some shares in Bank of Montreal this week. I'll share my experience about this later. It's a very important perspective, I believe, for anyone new to investing.

CMC continues to sink. I realize that unlike Tesla, where you have lots of noise to choose from when the stock sinks, CMC has no noise, and I feel like I'm in the dark. But I'll hold long anyway.


MY POSITIONS FOR TODAY
As of October 26, 2018 closing

TIP: If you want to see a bigger, clearer version, click on the chart and it will show you an expanded version.

Friday, October 19, 2018

Opening a TFSA Trading Account - Advantages for Middle-Class Investors

Now that I've received my first payment from my side job (as a piano accompanist), I'm ready to start purchasing my first dividend stock. I have my eye on is Bank of Montreal on the TSX. Why? For over 100 years, they have never missed a dividend payment -- and this includes the great market crash of 2008. This gives me assurance that I can rely on their commitment to investors even during profit losses.

As of October 19, 2018 closing.


To prepare, I opened a second trading account, which also happens to be my second Tax-Free Savings Account (TFSA). About 10 years ago in Canada, right around the market crash, this new savings system was launched to encourage middle-class citizens to invest in the economy by providing them a tax-shelter. Essentially, this is a savings account where any investment growth would not be taxed.

Here's a video with a great overview of the TFSA:



Sounds great? Well, I'm just getting started, because there's more!!!


1. The tax-free shelter applies also to dividend payments and capital gains (i.e. rise in stock prices).

This is probably the single most important aspect of the TFSA that most Canadians are not taking advantage of.

Think of it this way: When you have a regular trading account and the shares you buy with it go up in value, the moment you sell the shares and withdraw funds, you are taxed on the gains. But not so if they are in a TFSA.

Let's look at an example. In my case, if you look at my $TSLA shares in the table at the end of this post, you will see that I am sitting at a profit of about $1400. Right now, that growth is in my RRSP trading account. If I was retired and I sell those shares, I will be taxed on those gains. Here in Canada, that can be as high as 46%. So the government is going to take virtually half my earnings, which is around $700! Now think about in 10 years, when I hope to retire early, and the predicted $2000/share happens for $TSLA. That's a 900% profit. That means for every share I sell, the government will tax me about $1000 -- PER SHARE (in an RRSP account, tax includes $100 on the original investment, and $900 on the gains)! And of course, we all have more than one share. Paying an $10,000 tax for only 10 $TSLA shares is an unbearable, but inevitable conclusion.

Now if these were in a TFSA, there's NO TAX. You keep it all. It's that simple.


2. Any growth increases your contribution room.

This is the second greatest advantage of TSFA's that Canadians seems to be unaware of.

When you make a withdrawal from your TFSA, the amount of the withdrawal gets added to your contribution room at the beginning of the next year -- EVEN IF ALL YOU ARE WITHDRAWING ARE GAINS and your original contribution is untouched.

Let's me share another example from my personal experience. I had been putting away funds for years in a TFSA to save up for a grand piano. When I finally was ready to buy, I withdrew the entire balance of my TFSA, including all the interest I had earned. That entire balance, including the interest I earned up until then, showed up as additional contribution room at the beginning of the next year. Now think about a situation where instead of 1.5% interest, I gained 50% on the price of my $TSLA shares and withdrew those funds. Get it?

Simply put, your contribution room grows as big as your investment gains.

This makes gives the TFSA incredible potential on the market if you are someone who is investing for capital growth. If you are aiming to pick stocks for the sole purpose of selling them off when they hit a peak price, it means the amount of your TFSA contribution room could far surpass the standard annual contribution limits.

One warning though. Your contribution room also shrinks with your losses. So if you are unfortunate in picking stocks that cause you capital losses, you cannot recoup those losses in a later year. Consider yourself warned.


2. Reporting Your Taxable Gains is less stressful.

Okay, so actually, I'm new to this part.

I remember the first time I had to report my investment gains on my annual tax report when I was purchasing stocks in a regular trading account. I was tearing my hair out trying to make sense of the forms. I had no idea at the time that you only pay taxes on gains that you withdraw from the account (since you have already paid taxes on the initial investment).

However, when it comes to your TFSA, it's kind of a non-issue. By virtue of having a TFSA, Revenue Canada has your contribution amounts for the year across all your TFSA accounts, and tracks it on their website. Up until now, my TFSA has been with a bank. This is the first time I'll be reporting my investments on my tax report from my TFSA trading account -- if I have to at all. I suspect, it will be similar to my bank, in that it is already automatically reported to CRA for purposes of establishing my contribution room for the following year.


On a different note... what the heck is going on with my CMC stocks? *sigh*

MY POSITIONS FOR TODAY
As of October 19, 2018 closing.

Saturday, October 6, 2018

What? It's Not Over?

Okay, what is going on? Elon Musk back on Twitter, with undertones of trolling the SEC after a settlement was announced to be reached. The stock recovered initially on Monday and then has had a steady decline over the week, with the biggest drop on Friday after tweets about his disdain for short-selling and his seeming lack of confidence in the SEC investigation.
The play, as you see, is "SEC: Shortseller Enrichment Commission"... which is why the news is suggesting that he is undermining the integrity of the SEC after the settlement.

Well the news spun it, the short-seller investors dumped the stock (I suspect as usual) to give the impression that it was true, and we are sitting back at a price in the mid-200's.

Click here for full article.


And then he pulls out one of his tweets from January 2012, and the updates his opinion on it quite forcefully:




Today, I opened a second TFSA (Tax-Free Savings Account) trading account, this time with my trading company. Until now, I've been holding $TSLA stock in my RRSP trading account (our retirement savings plan here in Canada), but it's time to take all that available contribution room I have in my TFSA for a spin! (I'll post one day about what the amazing opportunity the average Canadian has with the TFSA. It's SO much more than just tax-savings on your interest!)

It's a strange thing to be a shareholder and hope that the stock sinks even further! I'm not sure when my fund transfer will go through in the upcoming week, but hopefully it will be before the stock starts heading back up.

Maybe I should ask Elon to keep tweeting just for a few more days until I'm ready to buy! He's giving all his long-investors a chance to gain more shares, and with it, more say on the future of the company.

On a serious note, here's my favorite recent tweet of Elon's:
He's bang on. That's what the long position is all about... the real world happenings, not the virtual world propaganda. Short sellers and FUD are just noise. Results are ultimately what matter.



MY POSITIONS FOR TODAY
As of October 5, 2018 closing.

Monday, October 1, 2018

Musk Accepts Settlement with SEC. Good Changes On Its Way

It's late, and I've just started a full-time job. Great source for more "investment" money, but limits my time to do other stuff. So I'm just going to quickly ramble here so I can go to bed. I can't possible skip the big news after the market closed today.

There are lots of places to read the settlement between Elon Musk and SEC.  Click here for the official statement from SEC on their website.


Essentially, It's a $40 million penalty ($20mM for Musk, and $20M for Tesla who is found in violation for not keeping Elon under control.)

The biggest, and most scariest to me, is that Elon Musk must step down as Board Chairman, and will not be able to reapply for that position for 3 years (it's posted as 4 years in another source). Why scary? He has to be replaced with two independant members. While the board will nominate candidates, shareholders will vote. I am hoping that the Board members have a sum of more than 50% of the shares in the company, and I can trust that they will choose appropriate members to keep Tesla's incredible entrepreneurial run alive. The worst case scenario, shareholders are fooled into accepting someone who doesn't have the mission of Tesla at the centre of their decisions. Yes, Tesla needs to be profitable... but only because it needs to make money to sustain its forward momentum in development and innovation. Not simply to give out make cushy rich people more rich.

I'm preparing myself for an onslaught of campaigning in the media from the short sellers to appoint someone who will attack Tesla from the inside. However, I do have faith in the current board that they will not let that happen.

Apparently, the market sees this settlement as a good thing! It's very sad that I didn't have any funds to purchase more shares when I had the chance. That may have possibly been the last chance to buy them under $300.


MY POSITIONS FOR TODAY
As of October 1, 2018 closing.


Friday, September 28, 2018

Aftermath

Yes, as predicted, the most brutal of hits to $TSLA stock since I first bought it comes today after the announcement of the lawsuit against Elon from SEC.

I don't want to play conspiracy theorist too quickly, but there's something really fishy about this whole ordeal.

The Timing
This at the end of the third quarter, and anticipated to be Tesla's most significant quarter to date in the history of their company. Profitability, accolades on performance, manufacturing and delivery milestones. One of my Facebook buddies said it best:

The Expediency
How is such an investigation so quickly started, resolved, and pasted all over the public news streams? Within one week? Really?

The Hypocrisy
Yes, that's a strong word. But it seems that there was a 2008 market crash, that there seemed to be clear investment criminals involved, and they weren't indicted or even penalized? What's that about?


Yes, clearly I'm upset over all this. But I'm also upset because...

...I WISH I HAD AVAILABLE US FUNDS TO PURCHASE $TSLA TODAY!! This is a huge opportunity before the Quarter 3 report, which will likely send the share prices back up.

As promised, here's my positions today:

MY POSITIONS FOR TODAY
As of September 28, 2018 closing

Thursday, September 27, 2018

SEC sues Elon Musk for fraud - Does it matter?

Holy cow!

The breaking news is that SEC is suing Elon Musk for making a fraudulent statement about having funding secured to take Tesla Private.

Bloomberg Article:

Gali at HyperchangeTV on a rant... and on the right track.


$TSLA is already down to around $274 per share after trading hours. Tomorrow, the stock is going to sink further, and I am literally belly aching that I don't have any USD funding available in my trading account to buy more stocks right away.

This is not a deadly blow for Tesla by any stretch of the imagination. While I feel like Elon really stepped over the line with his "funding secured" tweet, the company itself will continue. There is a fear that Elon may be removed as CEO, and that's probably the only concern around. However, Elon will always be connected to Tesla in an integral way, and so I'm holding on my shares and still long on the stock price.

The worst of this will likely be tomorrow, so I'll post my positions summary again after the market closes for the week. For now, it's still healthy.


MY POSITIONS FOR TODAY
As of September 27, 2018 closing.

Tuesday, September 25, 2018

Ford's Desperate Attempt to Look Good Financially

Every morning I glance at my stock prices and scan through the related news that the Yahoo! stock ticker shows (standard app on iPhones). For $TSLA, the FUD news is always rampant. But sometimes, it has just enough credibility to be worth a read.

Today, there was a full-on Ford Motors-positive headline that showed up in the $TSLA feed:
September 25, 2018
I did a video but my video editing skills fall short of acceptable. LOL.

Essentially, this is a strategy used by media to dictate public perception. There's just enough "Tesla" talk in the article to get it to appear on the $TSLA news feed. But it's only to relay one thing -- the headline. In fact, this didn't even show up under the stock news feed for Ford!

However, if you take a look at the Ford stock, it's nothing close to recovering... and is instead falling back down.


See that tiny little bump at the end just before it fell in price again? That's what the article is referring to. Hardly a come back.

I am growing accustomed to the absolute news trash talk about Tesla. It's so commonplace that I don't really notice it as much anymore. Unfortunately, when I talk to others who do not follow Tesla, the general comment is usually about how the company is in trouble and failing. Well, I guess that's why there's lots of "hindsight" regret when people talk about having passed on the chance to invest in Apple or Google back when they had a chance to get it at a bargain basement price. I didn't exactly buy $TSLA at the IPO, but it was low enough to make this a very fun ride for me!

Bottom Line: If you pay attention to the company, and drown out all the external noise, you will see that Tesla is headed in the right direction, and all data points to an incredible year and a profitable future for the company. I'm so long on this company, it's not even funny anymore.  (Well, maybe it's a little bit funny, especially when Ford is trying to use the Tesla news feed to get some attention! lol!)


MY POSITIONS FOR TODAY
As of September 25, 2018 closing.